How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App. 20 Jul 2023 15:19:13. Episode #2 Ukraine Strikes Crimea, the Naval War, and Much Else. Putin is having his Stalin moment, and may regret it. AMHERST, N. In particular the update looks at the question of European and US public opinion and Ukraine. A few days later the ‘seem’ I thought could be dispensed with and in a 7 July Substack, I wrote that the Ukrainians had embarked on a distinct Artillery destruction phase of the counteroffensive. Answering that call in June, Washington delivered the first batch of truck-mounted, multiple-rocket launchers known as HIMARS, which fire satellite-guided rockets with a range of around 50 miles. Nov 23, 2023 · Phillips P. There was first the extraordinary footage of the sea drone attack on this Russian vessel. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. They’ve been used and lets see if nuclear weapons appear. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien Was so struck by what Admiral Radakin (the senior UK professional military officer) said in testimony to Parliament today, that I did a substack on it. Phillips P. The military aid given to Ukraine, while undoubtedly welcome by the Ukrainians and their armed forces, seems geared to making sure Ukraine has to undertake a large, direct and potentially deadly. comThe Future of American Warfare Is. Ukraine 'clinging on' to Bakhmut, The Ukrainian Counteroffensive, Ball Bearings, NATO. OBrien, a Substack publication. Thanks for reading Phillips’s Newsletter! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. Thanks for reading Phillips’s Newsletter! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. The military aid given to Ukraine, while undoubtedly welcome by the Ukrainians and their armed forces, seems geared to making sure Ukraine has to undertake a large, direct and potentially deadly. 10 months ago · 93 likes · 32 comments · Phillips P. In short, it is those who argue that it was the Soviet Union that played the dominant role in defeating Nazi. See new Tweets. It takes on the question of whether Russia is winning the war, which some are now saying. I think I may start every weekend update from now on with what I consider the most important visual image of the week. Listeners can follow Phillips O'Brien on Substack at. Delved into 3 questions--the importance of Biden's visit to Kyiv, Chinese policy, and the ongoing Russian offensive. 13 Nov 2022 09:50:52. This is one of the only good things to have come out of Putin’s horrific decision to opt for a full-scale decision. The more the war goes on, and the more blood Russia sheds to try and conquer what it can, the more Europeans as a whole seem to realize there is no going back. The focus on Russian artillery is clear from Ukrainian claims of destruction. Was so struck by what Admiral Radakin (the senior UK professional military officer). “I don’t think it means he is. Research output : Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review Herbert Hoover, Anglo-American relations and republican party politics in the 1920s. Scotland, Boston and Sicily (whenever possible) phillipspobrien. Phillips P. Ukraine’s long arm disrupts Crimea, its patience breaches Russian defences. Whatever intrigues me--these days the Russo-Ukraine War with regular departures. Phillips P. Phillips P. Hi all, just sent out my weekend update (free as always). This narrative is coming. Well, thought I would try Notes—to see if others are using it. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. A regular series of podcasts, with guests, in which we discuss the Russo-Ukraine War and larger geopolitical questions. Phillips O'Brien. The S-400 is Russia’s most advanced anti air system. Phillips P. My personal Substack. You are welcome to get in touch by email at ukrainewartalk@gmail. This week witnessed one of the most well executed and planned operations of this war so far, the Ukrainian attack on the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastapol. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. Jun 22, 2023 · Its only be a very short time since February 2022. Ive said quite alot about the latter during the past few. As Russian impetus became faltering, however, the Ukrainians started some local counterattacks to the North and South of the city—and Russian resistance seemed in small pockets to crumble. Phillips P. Ive said quite alot about the latter during the past. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. Weekend Update#37. Boring War. Dec 2. Aug 31, 2023 · 1. Nov 13, 2022 · Phillips P. Signs are that a deal is very close on US aid. Weekend Update#37. Hi All, Its rather hard to believe that Ive now written 50 of these weekend updates on Substack. It takes on the question of whether Russia is winning the war, which some are now saying. Feb 5, 2023 · Estimates now are that the Russians have approximately 300,000 soldiers in occupied Ukraine, at least 100,000 more than they had when the full scale invasion started on February 24, 2022. Phillips P. Phillips P. Phillips P. At just after 15:41 on the clock, Admiral Radakin gets onto the state of the Russo-Ukraine war, and its fascinating. Chynna Phillips has joined the family section. Listeners can follow Phillips O'Brien on Substack at phillipspobrien. — Democrat Dean Phillips is accusing President Biden of being a threat to democracy, as the long-shot primary challenger ramps up attacks that have exasperated some Biden. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. They would later be instrumental in making Athens (fleetingly) the greatest naval power of the Eastern Mediterranean during the Peloponnesian War. Here is the substack link. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. Hope that is ok! Once again, the line barely moved this week, but it might have been the most momentous week of the war since February 24, 2022. Some concern over this has masked the fact that the Ukrainians. Apr 30, 2023 · A Ukrainian soldier just released from Russian captivity, seeing an apple for the first time since being a prisoner. Was so struck by what Admiral Radakin (the senior UK professional military officer). Aug 20, 2023. The cost for the British was, however, shocking. Maybe the silliest of these was the headline and story in the Economist which claimed that Putin seems to be "winning the war" in Ukraine presently. This weekend update is being written on the night train as it travels from Kyiv to Warsaw. Jan 1, 2023 · 10 months ago · 93 likes · 32 comments · Phillips P. This was the week when it did become obvious to many that the Ukrainian. By Phillips P. Phillips P. In a few weeks, we won’t be. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. Jan 22, 2023 · We, 🇱🇻 🇪🇪 🇱🇹 Foreign Ministers, call on Germany to provide Leopard tanks to Ukraine now. The 1st reason is the USA must be very concerned that China is actually going to supply significant military support to Russia. Confusing Soviet Power in World War II and Russian power today, and why that matters. Sep 7, 2023 · Hello Everyone, You might have seen a message that just appeared. ¶☼ Weekend Update #29. Copy link. The 300,000 figure was recently given by Ukrainian defense minister Reznikov. 221 subscribed. Line stable again and some ideas on escalation/nukes. That video reveals so much. Anastasia, a professional violinist, joined the TDF in March 2022. Good Morning Everyone--just sent out my weekend update (its free). O’Brien, professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrew’s, argues that there has been a ‘decisive change in Biden administration support for Ukraine’. The last few days have brought some interesting developments that reveal that the Ukrainians are continuing to do something in particular, which is to create a weak spot in the Russian line. Russian forces have failed to take complete control of any of the four oblasts, or administrative regions—Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia—that Putin claimed for Russia in September 2022. A Modern City at War. See new Tweets. Here is the @TheStudyofWar map. Ready for more?. Mar 19, 2023 · 20th Weekend Review on Substack. Putin's emphasis of this is "not a bluff" notwithstanding, some analysts say this is all about posturing in order to scare NATO away from escalation. Here is the @TheStudyofWar map. Their are both ground based anti air systems from MANPADS (think Stingers) to the most advanced larger ground-based systems such as Patriors, S-400s, etc etc. My personal Substack. Sep 21, 2023 · Also. Winning a War at Sea Without Warships. Weekend Update #49: You might not be interested in War, but War is interested in You. Euromaidan Press @EuromaidanPress. Phillips O'Brien. Phillips’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication. Hello all, its hard to believe that this is the 30th weekend update Ive written since joining substack. Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. Well, thought I would try Notes—to see if others are using it. Fascinating article in @nytimes about the Battle of Bakhmut. 446-475 30 p. The shift in Europe, Tanks and What is Really Important about Them. Phillips O'Brien & Edward Stringer, The Atlantic, May 11, 2023 Before each decision to arm Ukraine with a new category of powerful arms, NATO partners progress through three stages of denial. Professor of Strategic Studies, @univofstandrew. 9:03 PM · Jul 4,. Phillips OBrien/”Phillips’s Newsletter” on Substack:. What this new phase shows is that both this war, and Ukrainian decision-making, is following a course that was first forged. Sign in. military want Ukraine to pursue a “hold and build” strategy — to focus on holding the territory it has and building its ability to produce weapons over 2024. Feb 12, 2023 · Phillips P. Phillips’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. TRANCE Formation of America exposes the truth behind this covert government program and its. Cathy O’Brien was born in 1957 in Muskegon, Michigan. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien Been watching the events of the last 18 hours closely, and have to say this looks like a far more well-planned out coup attempt than it first appeared. Europe and US Public Opinion remains remarkably solid. Phillips P. Jun 4, 2023 · Phillips P. 26 Feb 2023 10:42:55. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. Latest piece in @TheAtlantic appeared. Would love to hear what people think. This is one of the only good things to have come out of Putin’s horrific decision to opt for a full-scale decision. 7:30 AM ∙ Jan 21, 2023. Mar 8, 2023 · I was this week going to finish up my writings on military learning by discussing the Russian campaign against Ukrainian power generation and critical infrastructure, but the Battle of Bakhmut seems so much in the news still, that I thought it would be worth exploring just why the Ukrainians have decided to keep fighting for the town, even though on the map Ukrainian forces seem to be in a. The countryside and wildlife will be massively damaged, food production will be sorely hit, villages and town wiped out. It’s mostly about the intelligence leaks in the USA, which strikes me as embarrassing, but of no battlefield importance. 7:30 AM ∙ Jan 21, 2023. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. North Atlantic South Baltic Fella. The article starts with exactly that criticism above—Ukraine starts the attack, gets worried about losses, and moves away (foolishly) from the way NATO/US sources wanted them to fight. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. People need to move beyond the deeply flawed view of what this war would be like from before Feb 24, 2022 and understand what this war is. Weekend Update#37. Remember, the Kremlin recently announced it was withdrawing from the grain shipment deal—but has been powerless to do anything but fight with words. 2) The deployment of military power. Weekend Update #45 The Counteroffensive; ATACMS?; The Pentagon and the Future of War Hello Everyone, Going to range a little widely today (particularly at the end), as there have been a host of interesting stories over the last week. Weekend Update #14. OBrien @phillipspobrien · 1 link Professor of Strategic Studies, @univofstandrew. Phillips P. 446-475 30 p. My guess—not at all. 6d ago. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. Latest piece in @TheAtlantic appeared. 5 Followers. With 2022 ending in a few hours, I thought it might be interesting to go back through a few published articles (and in one case an article that was rejected for publication) as a way of discussing how I analyzed the Russian invasion of Ukraine. In his keynote address, Putin made much of Russia’s economic resiliency, trying to argue that the Russian economy had weathered the affect of international sanctions well. Delved into 3 questions--the importance of Biden's visit to Kyiv, Chinese policy, and the ongoing Russian offensive. If it’s incredibly silly to try and pass judgement on the Ukrainian offensive after a few days, it’s almost as silly to think that this has been a long war. Jul 2, 2023 · Weekend Update #35. Reflections on the state of the war, attrition, atrocity and why Russia is heading for an even greater disaster than expected (and I wrote from the start I didnt see how they could win this war)--all compounded by their own choices which are speeding up. Jan 29. Phillips P. Yet this was easily the most ominous event for Russian control of Crimea so far in the war—indeed for the whole Russian position from Crimea to the west (into Kherson). Phillips P. 9 months ago · 147 likes · 24 comments · Phillips P. Donald’s Substack. 8 Following. the artillery ammunition struggle, Ukrainian-Polish relations, and the state of the counteroffensive. About the Speakers Tags: Russia-Ukraine The Eastern Front Ukraine. This week witnessed one of the most well executed and planned operations of this war so far, the Ukrainian attack on the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastapol. Ive said quite alot about the latter during the past few. It has not even been 16 months since the Russians launched their full-scale invasion. Just published my latest weekend update on substack (its free). Some thoughts on Ukraine's preparation for the next phase of the war. The discussion here is about whether the Russians. Yet this was easily the most ominous event for Russian control of Crimea so far in the war—indeed for the whole Russian position from Crimea to the west (into Kherson). Here is a link to it. As we are not that long from Kyiv, we will be passing through acres of dark, rich. The discussion here is about whether the Russians. It was in this substack. Some thoughts on Ukraine's preparation for the next phase of the war. The Battle of Dienbienphu. Mykola Bielieskov. This all started with an announcement by Prigozhin yesterday that the Russian army had launched a missile attack on a Wagner base—and it has snowballed. The countryside and wildlife will be massively damaged, food production will be sorely hit, villages and town wiped out. A Weekend Update Like No Other. Phillips P. Phillips P. Was this the week when Ukraine won the war? F-16s, Zelensky's Foreign Trips, Military advantage. Today I share a MUST-WATCH Documentary! I watched this a few days ago and thought everything was explained very well. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. I have to say that I really enjoy the substack interface and find it a rewarding way to communicate what I think is happening in the war. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. May 4. I have been thinking a great deal about the issue of how society and politics interact with economics to create national power (militaries), that I’ve actually ended up drafting a substantial article on the subject. There is precious little evidence for this—and actually much evidence of the opposite. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. AMHERST, N. Why, because the Ukrainians are looking at the whole battle line from the Black Sea to the border of Belgorod Oblast as one whole, and within that are desperate to try and create an opening. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Aug 31, 2023 · 1. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. 11:23 AM ∙ Feb 20, 2023. British actor Sian Clifford, of Fleabag fame, takes subscribers behind the scenes on the promotional leg of her work; chef and author Anissa Helou shares what’s so special about her food heroine’s tabbouleh in her. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter and join the conversation. No, Putin is not "winning the war" 6 days ago | By Phillips P. Thousands of paid subscribers. There will be Russia, a few neutralist states whose security is guaranteed tacitly by NATO, and NATO. That does not happen by accident. 1,645 Following. This would both protect Ukrainian forces and allow Ukrainian attack with their own UAVs to have a chance for success. franceska jaes, ihop busy hours
Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. . Phillips obrien substack
As many journalists and analysts have concluded, the Ukrainian 2023 offensive has begun. What we have seen over the past year, with the exception of the Ukrainian Kharkiv operation, is that moving forward is extremely hard. Mar 19, 2023 · 20th Weekend Review on Substack. Like Stalin, like Putin. Many thanks once again for your thoughtful and thorough analysis. Phillips P. I appreciate that and I'm honoured, but I want to keep the substack free for now, especially the weekend updates. OBrien @PhilIipsPOBrien. The New Battle of Kherson, Cluster Munitions, Erdogan snubs Putin,. Phillips P. Well, thought I would try Notes—to see if others are using it. When you arrive into Kyiv after the long drive from Poland, you are struck by how the ordinariness of life goes on, and yet the reality of being in the bloodiest war in Europe since 1945 is all around you. This is needed to stop Russian aggression, help Ukraine and restore peace in Europe quickly. 8:57 PM ∙ Jun 1, 2022. might be worth updating on these since we recorded (which was monday) as they show the range of war fighting that is going on. Phillips P. To understand what I mean by that, you should think of war as involving three steps. Weekend Update #8. A regular series of podcasts, with guests, in which we discuss the Russo-Ukraine War and larger geopolitical questions. Comments - Weekend Update #13 - by Phillips P. com Some actual evidence on the state of the war UK CDS Admiral Radakin briefs Parliament 9:03 PM · Jul 4, 2023 · 82. Phillips P. As this story is hot of the presses, just came out a little over a day ago, and the whole idea of who is winning the war seems so intense these days, I thought I would go into one element of that discussion in. Its dark now, so I cant see much, but having driven this way a week ago, I have a pretty good idea of the topography. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. That can be seen in decreased rates of fire across the line, and decreased attacks on targets such as Ukrainian cities. They’ve been used and lets see if nuclear weapons appear. Europe and US Public Opinion remains remarkably solid. Sep 10, 2023 · Weekend Update #45 The Counteroffensive; ATACMS?; The Pentagon and the Future of War Hello Everyone, Going to range a little widely today (particularly at the. Copy link. Colonial forces actually dug in very well on Breeds Hill and fought a dogged defensive battle. At least no one can complain about a lack of content from this substack ;) I am going to have some fun with this update, starting by thinking back to the pre-1945 world of seapower (before US naval dominance basically changed the equation) to look at the naval war in the Black Sea from that point of view. Many thanks once again for your thoughtful and thorough analysis. Leon Trotsky: Bolshevik Minister of War in the Russian Civil War, and mass murderer. Launched a month ago. Thanks for reading Phillips’s Newsletter! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. British actor Sian Clifford, of Fleabag fame, takes subscribers behind the scenes on the promotional leg of her work; chef and author Anissa Helou shares what’s so special about her food heroine’s tabbouleh in her. 1,645 Following. This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Phillips’s Newsletter. All we can say, is that as long as the Ukrainians are across the river and look like they are staying, that it may be more than that. Jan 29. Monitoring equipment replacement is clearly something that matters hugely to the Ukrainians. Germany as the leading European power has special responsibility in this regard. Professor of Strategic Studies, @univofstandrew. At just after 15:41 on the clock, Admiral Radakin gets onto the state of the Russo-Ukraine war, and its fascinating. This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Phillips’s Newsletter. Even when forces create opening in the lines, which the Ukrainians did in Zaporizhzhia the other week, it is extremely difficult to exploit those openings. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Line stable again and some ideas on escalation/nukes. might be worth updating on these since we recorded (which was monday) as they show the range of war fighting that is going on. 7:30 AM ∙ Jan 21, 2023. My guess—not at all. Just sent out a substack that develops some of the ideas that I put out in the Atlantic this week--primarily that the US needs to understand that its ability to control events is weaker than it thinks. If you remember I wrote two pieces in November on how to craft a better US foreign policy, basically calling for a more measured understanding of what the US could accomplish with its “power” and arguing against too much intervention. Phillips P. Ammunition, Airpower and the Endless Russian Offensive to take Bakhmut. Many thanks once again for your thoughtful and thorough analysis. “Hi Everyone, just sent out my weekend update through substack. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Signs are that a deal is very close on US aid. After months of delays, obfuscations and, quite possibly, deliberate distortions, the US. In a predictable, but still depressing move, some of the biggest cheerleaders for forcing Ukraine to make a bad deal with Russia have pronounced the Ukrainian offensive a failure. military want Ukraine to pursue a “hold and build” strategy — to focus on holding the territory it has and building its ability to produce weapons over 2024. Whatever intrigues me--these days the Russo-Ukraine War with regular departures. Latest piece in @TheAtlantic appeared. Now they have to rebuild their lives and their hopes for Russia from exile. Dec 11, 2022. Follow him at @PhillipsPOBrien. Ukraine Russia War Talk. As Wagner troops marched on Moscow, Ukraine made further gains. 221 subscribed. In short, it is those who argue that it was the Soviet Union that played the dominant role in defeating Nazi. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. The last few days have brought some interesting developments that reveal that the Ukrainians are continuing to do something in particular, which is to create a weak spot in the Russian line. I was this week going to finish up my writings on military learning by discussing the Russian campaign against Ukrainian power generation and critical infrastructure, but the Battle of Bakhmut seems so. They’ve been used and lets see if nuclear weapons appear. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. OBrien and Mykola Bielieskov 34:15 53 28 How to Craft a Better US Foreign Policy. OBrien, a Substack publication. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. Its about the two biggest stories of the week, the Ukrainian counteroffensive and the Nova Kakhovka dam explosion. 14 January, 2022. What this new phase shows is that both this war, and Ukrainian decision-making, is following a course that was first forged. This one wins hands down this week. A Word-Salad was Created when Simplicity was Called for. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. In 1798, Bonaparte invades Egypt and seizes it from Ottoman rule—however he is eventually forced to flee to a large degree because the British cut off his ability to be supplied. Donald Hill. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Click to read Phillips's Substack, by Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. com Some actual evidence on the state of the war UK CDS Admiral Radakin briefs Parliament 9:03 PM · Jul 4, 2023 · 82. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. Germany as the leading European power has special responsibility in this regard. 1,645 Following. As we are not that long from Kyiv, we will be passing through acres of dark,. Aug 6, 2023 · This gives Ukraine a major advantage in adaptability and the ability to create new systems in a short period of time. They have some very distinct positions, that are clashing at present. That video reveals so much. I have been thinking a great deal about the issue of how society and politics interact with economics to create national power (militaries), that I’ve actually ended up drafting a substantial article on the subject. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. com Scotland, Boston and Sicily (whenever possible) Joined February 2015. It's mostly about the intelligence leaks in the USA, which strikes me as embarrassing, but of no battlefield importance. A Weekend Update Like No Other. Obviously the big news of the last few days is the Russian public announcement of their withdrawal from land on the west bank of the Dnipro, which includes the politically sensitive city of Kherson (the largest city that the Russians have heretofore seized in the war, and capital of a region that was. In many ways, new Europe is winning out over old Europe. Hope that is ok! Once again, the line barely moved this week, but it might have been the most momentous week of the war since February 24, 2022. This weekend update is being written on the night train as it travels from Kyiv to Warsaw. . small tited milf